02/02/2024
·
15:45
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-2
2nd Score
2-2
Tuwaiq vs Al-Saqer Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
Over Pick
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
40%
4-5
23%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 52% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
31%
Home Win
24%
28%
Draw
23%
41%
Away Win
53%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tuwaiq v Al-Saqer — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Tuwaiq
The Market 27%
Head to Head
AWAY
Al-Saqer
The Market 57%
-34% /
-34%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-64% /
-64%
0.00/1.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.00/1.00
-100%
/
-100%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
+102%
47%
Ball Possession
53%
12
Total Shots
13
5
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
6
290 · 73%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
396 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Tuwaiq vs Al-Saqer
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al-Saqer nicked a narrow win over Tuwaiq 1-0 away from home.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al-Saqer as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
What was the final score of Tuwaiq vs Al-Saqer?
Tuwaiq 0-1 Al-Saqer in the Saudi Arabia - 2nd Division on 02/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tuwaiq vs Al-Saqer?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al-Saqer win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Tuwaiq 31%, draw 28%, Al-Saqer 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al-Saqer) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Al-Saqer)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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