Samsunspor 0-2 Galatasaray — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 2 Feb 2024

📅02/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.13
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
47%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.07
Over 2.5
45%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.98
2-3 Goals
43%
1.83
4-5 Goals
21%
3.09
6+ Goals
8%
10.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.98 — our 28% vs market 19.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
7.28
1/2
11%
21.3
1/X
10%
15.6
X/1
8%
9.8
X/2
14%
3.93
X/X
8%
5.67
2/1
9%
34.0
2/2
22%
2.08
2/X
8%
15.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
21%
+6.0pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.2pp
46%
Away Win
56%
-9.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
44%
+10.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
56%
-10.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.3pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samsunspor EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Galatasaray EU Bookmakers 60%
-19% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +5%
0.62/1.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/1.08
-55% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +5%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
278 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 84%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.7
14.8 Crosses 21.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samsunspor
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Galatasaray
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.21 xG 1.06
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
253 Passes 392
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 1
16.09.2023 Galatasaray Galatasaray 4-2 HT 3-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
07.01.2012 Samsunspor Samsunspor 2-4 HT 2-0 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
18.09.2011 Galatasaray Galatasaray 3-1 HT 1-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
04.03.2006 Galatasaray Galatasaray 3-2 HT 1-1 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
25.09.2005 Samsunspor Samsunspor 1-2 HT 1-1 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
26.02.2005 Samsunspor Samsunspor 2-1 HT 0-0 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Samsunspor
0-2
AWAY Galatasaray
1.06 xG 2.09
45% Ball Possession 55%
17 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
260 Passes 333
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
25 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Samsunspor vs Galatasaray
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galatasaray beat Samsunspor 2-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Galatasaray as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Samsunspor had 45% of the ball to Galatasaray's 55%, shots finished 17-16, expected goals 1.06 to 2.09.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Galatasaray led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Samsunspor and 2.83 for Galatasaray.

What was the final score of Samsunspor vs Galatasaray?

Samsunspor 0-2 Galatasaray in the Turkey - Super League on 02/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samsunspor vs Galatasaray?

Before kick-off our model rated an Galatasaray win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Samsunspor 27%, draw 26%, Galatasaray 46%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Galatasaray), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Galatasaray) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TSL More Turkey - Super League
2 Feb 2024
17:00 MKE Ankaragücü vs Sivasspor Analysis →
17:00 Hatayspor vs Fatih Karagümrük Analysis →