Slavia Prag 1-0 Mlada Boleslav — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 2 Feb 2025

📅02/02/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.22
Draw
19%
5.71
Away
15%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.74
Over 2.5
59%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.96
No
49%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.91
2-3 Goals
38%
2.04
4-5 Goals
26%
2.43
6+ Goals
16%
5.07
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
77%
-11.1pp
19%
Draw
14%
+4.8pp
15%
Away Win
8%
+6.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
33%
+8.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
67%
-8.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.7pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slavia Prag EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Mlada Boleslav EU Bookmakers 11%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
2.58/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/2.00
+22% / +89% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +8%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
383 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 75%
42.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
33.0 Crosses 13.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slavia Prag
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Mlada Boleslav
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
3.35 xG 0.40
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 4
385 Passes 215
82% Pass Accuracy 69%
40 Box Touches 11
29 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.09.2024 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 0-2 HT 0-2 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag ÇEK
26.05.2024 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag 4-0 HT 2-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
10.12.2023 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag 2-0 HT 0-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
13.08.2023 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 0-1 HT 0-0 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag ÇEK
09.04.2023 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 1-1 HT 1-1 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag ÇEK
16.10.2022 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag 2-1 HT 2-1 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slavia Prag
1-0
AWAY Mlada Boleslav
2.42 xG 0.49
56% Ball Possession 44%
21 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
360 Passes 262
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
40 Box Touches 9
28 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Slavia Prag vs Mlada Boleslav
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slavia Prag squeezed past Mlada Boleslav 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Slavia Prag as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Slavia Prag had 56% of the ball to Mlada Boleslav's 44%, shots finished 21-7, expected goals 2.42 to 0.49 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Slavia Prag's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slavia Prag had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Slavia Prag and 0.33 for Mlada Boleslav.

What was the final score of Slavia Prag vs Mlada Boleslav?

Slavia Prag 1-0 Mlada Boleslav in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slavia Prag vs Mlada Boleslav?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slavia Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Slavia Prag 66%, draw 19%, Mlada Boleslav 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slavia Prag) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Slavia Prag) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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