Bristol Rovers 3-1 Peterborough United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 2 Feb 2025

Bristol Rovers
3-1 HT 1-0
Peterborough United
📅02/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Bristol Rovers vs Peterborough United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
38%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.03
Over 2.5
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.61
No
44%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.65
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.02
6+ Goals
13%
9.98
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.62
1/2
8%
24.3
1/X
7%
12.5
X/1
11%
6.91
X/2
11%
5.27
X/X
12%
4.86
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
30.5
2/2
20%
3.03
2/X
8%
12.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 30.5 — our 8% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+4.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
39%
Away Win
42%
-3.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
45%
-0.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
55%
+0.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.9pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bristol Rovers v Peterborough United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bristol Rovers EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Peterborough United EU Bookmakers 46%
-3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -10%
1.12/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/0.92
-9% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -23%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
263 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 70%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.4
17.5 Crosses 19.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.5

Bristol Rovers vs Peterborough United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bristol Rovers
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Peterborough United
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.07 xG 1.48
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
266 Passes 304
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 26
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.09.2024 Peterborough United Peterborough United 3-2 HT 2-0 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN1
30.09.2023 Peterborough United Peterborough United 2-0 HT 1-0 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN1
29.04.2023 Peterborough United Peterborough United 0-0 HT 0-0 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN1
19.11.2022 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
08.01.2022 Peterborough United Peterborough United 2-1 HT 1-1 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers FAK
26.01.2021 Peterborough United Peterborough United 0-0 HT 0-0 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN1

Bristol Rovers 3-1 Peterborough United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bristol Rovers
3-1
AWAY Peterborough United
2.23 xG 2.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 6
266 Passes 368
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 28
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bristol Rovers vs Peterborough United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bristol Rovers saw off Peterborough United 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Bristol Rovers found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Bristol Rovers had 44% of the ball to Peterborough United's 56%, shots finished 13-19, expected goals 2.23 to 2.33.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Peterborough United led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Bristol Rovers and 1.17 for Peterborough United.

What was the final score of Bristol Rovers vs Peterborough United?

Bristol Rovers 3-1 Peterborough United in the England - 1st Division on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bristol Rovers vs Peterborough United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Peterborough United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Bristol Rovers 35%, draw 27%, Peterborough United 39%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Peterborough United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Peterborough United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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