CD Castellon 0-1 Huesca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 2 Feb 2025

CD Castellon
0-1 HT 0-1
Huesca
📅02/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

CD Castellon vs Huesca Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.67
Over 2.5
40%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
2.64
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
4.14
6+ Goals
8%
20.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.64 — our 32% vs market 30.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.92
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.15
X/1 EV+ ✗
22%
4.68
X/2
7%
7.16
X/X
15%
4.09
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
16%
5.63
2/X
6%
14.0
Value flag · X/1 at 4.68 — our 22% vs market 16.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-1.6pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.1pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.4pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

CD Castellon v Huesca — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Castellon EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Huesca EU Bookmakers 30%
-22% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
1.62/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.15
-27% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +41%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 76%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
17.7 Crosses 15.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.9

CD Castellon vs Huesca Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Castellon
0W-3D-2L
AWAY Huesca
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
2.41 xG 1.25
66% Ball Possession 34%
21 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
400 Passes 163
82% Pass Accuracy 64%
36 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
24.11.2024 Huesca Huesca 1-1 HT 0-0 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS2
22.05.2010 CD Castellon CD Castellon 1-2 HT 0-0 Huesca Huesca İS2
20.12.2009 Huesca Huesca 2-0 HT 1-0 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS2
31.01.2009 CD Castellon CD Castellon 1-1 HT 1-0 Huesca Huesca İS2
31.08.2008 Huesca Huesca 2-2 HT 1-1 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS2

CD Castellon 0-1 Huesca — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Castellon
0-1
AWAY Huesca
0.82 xG 0.66
75% Ball Possession 25%
17 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 7
461 Passes 111
85% Pass Accuracy 60%
32 Box Touches 13
34 Crosses 12
5 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH CD Castellon vs Huesca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Huesca nicked a narrow win over CD Castellon 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was CD Castellon at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, CD Castellon had 75% of the ball to Huesca's 25%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 0.82 to 0.66.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Huesca led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for CD Castellon and 1.60 for Huesca.

What was the final score of CD Castellon vs Huesca?

CD Castellon 0-1 Huesca in the Spain - 2nd Division on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Castellon vs Huesca?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Castellon win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split CD Castellon 44%, draw 29%, Huesca 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (CD Castellon) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CD Castellon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS2 More Spain - 2nd Division
2 Feb 2025
18:15 Eibar vs Deportivo La Coruna Analysis →
20:30 Real Zaragoza vs Cadiz Analysis →
20:30 Cartagena vs Cordoba Analysis →
23:00 Tenerife vs Albacete Analysis →