Eibar 0-1 Deportivo La Coruna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 2 Feb 2025

📅02/02/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.6
Over 2.5
37%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.44
2-3 Goals
44%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
4.54
6+ Goals
8%
25.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.02
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.35
X/1
12%
4.68
X/2
14%
7.03
X/X
18%
3.86
2/1
6%
30.0
2/2
7%
5.66
2/X
8%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-3.4pp
33%
Draw
29%
+3.2pp
27%
Away Win
27%
+0.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
59%
+4.8pp
37%
Over 2.5
41%
-4.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.2pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eibar EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo La Coruna EU Bookmakers 30%
+6% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +0%
1.37/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.49
+16% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
307 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
22.6 Crosses 13.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eibar
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Deportivo La Coruna
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.88 xG 1.14
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 5
320 Passes 272
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Box Touches 21
34 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.11.2024 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 1-0 HT 0-0 Eibar Eibar İS2
03.03.2018 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 1-1 HT 1-1 Eibar Eibar İS1
15.10.2017 Eibar Eibar 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS1
28.01.2017 Eibar Eibar 3-1 HT 2-1 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS1
19.08.2016 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 2-1 HT 0-0 Eibar Eibar İS1
23.04.2016 Eibar Eibar 1-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eibar
0-1
AWAY Deportivo La Coruna
1.01 xG 1.68
57% Ball Possession 43%
22 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 1
411 Passes 298
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Box Touches 14
36 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Eibar vs Deportivo La Coruna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo La Coruna squeezed past Eibar 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Eibar at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Eibar had 57% of the ball to Deportivo La Coruna's 43%, shots finished 22-8, expected goals 1.01 to 1.68.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo La Coruna led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Eibar and 1.00 for Deportivo La Coruna.

What was the final score of Eibar vs Deportivo La Coruna?

Eibar 0-1 Deportivo La Coruna in the Spain - 2nd Division on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eibar vs Deportivo La Coruna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eibar win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Eibar 41%, draw 33%, Deportivo La Coruna 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Eibar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Eibar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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