Carrarese 1-2 Brescia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 2 Feb 2025

📅02/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.69
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.06
6+ Goals
9%
19.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.03
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
12.9
X/1
11%
4.83
X/2
9%
6.97
X/X
10%
4.08
2/1
11%
28.0
2/2
12%
5.34
2/X
9%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
+0.0pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.9pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.4pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carrarese EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Brescia EU Bookmakers 31%
+42% / +42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +0%
1.58/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.38
+39% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
366 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
27.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
19.1 Crosses 18.8
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carrarese
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Brescia
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.01 xG 0.21
65% Ball Possession 35%
16 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 0
428 Passes 171
81% Pass Accuracy 62%
17 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
15.12.2024 Brescia Brescia 0-0 HT 0-0 Carrarese Carrarese İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carrarese
1-2
AWAY Brescia
1.43 xG 1.49
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
379 Passes 268
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
28 Box Touches 27
26 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Carrarese vs Brescia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brescia squeezed past Carrarese 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Carrarese at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Carrarese had 59% of the ball to Brescia's 41%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 1.43 to 1.49.

What was the final score of Carrarese vs Brescia?

Carrarese 1-2 Brescia in the Italy - Serie B on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carrarese vs Brescia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carrarese win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Carrarese 44%, draw 27%, Brescia 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Carrarese) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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