FC Bari 1908 2-1 Frosinone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 2 Feb 2025

📅02/02/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.64
Over 2.5
36%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.62
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.18
6+ Goals
7%
20.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.62 — our 34% vs market 31.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.85
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
12.75
X/1
14%
4.71
X/2
7%
7.56
X/X
15%
3.96
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
11%
5.98
2/X
8%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.6pp
33%
Draw
29%
+4.0pp
24%
Away Win
25%
-1.4pp
64%
Under 2.5
57%
+7.1pp
36%
Over 2.5
43%
-7.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.6pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Bari 1908 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Frosinone EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
1.29/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.33
-14% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +0%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 73%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
23.1 Crosses 18.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Bari 1908
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Frosinone
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.59 xG 1.18
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
303 Passes 433
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Box Touches 26
10 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
22.09.2024 Frosinone Frosinone 0-3 HT 0-1 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
24.07.2024 Frosinone Frosinone 3-4 HT 2-2 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 HAZ
11.03.2023 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 0-0 HT 0-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
22.10.2022 Frosinone Frosinone 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
10.02.2018 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 1-0 HT 0-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
16.09.2017 Frosinone Frosinone 3-2 HT 2-2 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Bari 1908
2-1
AWAY Frosinone
1.56 xG 1.55
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
273 Passes 297
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
10 Box Touches 34
16 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FC Bari 1908 vs Frosinone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Bari 1908 squeezed past Frosinone 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had FC Bari 1908 as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Bari 1908 had 49% of the ball to Frosinone's 51%, shots finished 9-20, expected goals 1.56 to 1.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Bari 1908 had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for FC Bari 1908 and 1.17 for Frosinone.

What was the final score of FC Bari 1908 vs Frosinone?

FC Bari 1908 2-1 Frosinone in the Italy - Serie B on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Bari 1908 vs Frosinone?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Bari 1908 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split FC Bari 1908 43%, draw 33%, Frosinone 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Bari 1908) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Bari 1908) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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