Frosinone 0-3 FC Bari 1908 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 22 Sep 2024

Frosinone
0-3 HT 0-1
FC Bari 1908
📅22/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2024/2025

Frosinone vs FC Bari 1908 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.38
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
27%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.74
Over 2.5
41%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.86
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.09
6+ Goals
9%
19.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.86 — our 30% vs market 29.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.6
1/2
7%
32.5
1/X
5%
13.4
X/1
20%
5.17
X/2
9%
5.68
X/X
14%
4.21
2/1
8%
30.0
2/2
11%
4.11
2/X
11%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
38%
+4.4pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.1pp
27%
Away Win
34%
-6.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
54%
+5.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
46%
-5.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.9pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Frosinone v FC Bari 1908 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Frosinone EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Bari 1908 EU Bookmakers 37%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +3%
1.58/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.00
+28% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
295 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 75%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
21.3 Crosses 14.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7

Frosinone vs FC Bari 1908 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Frosinone
2W-1D-3L
AWAY FC Bari 1908
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.85 xG 0.28
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
494 Passes 252
87% Pass Accuracy 74%
27 Box Touches 6
22 Crosses 7
4 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
24.07.2024 Frosinone Frosinone 3-4 HT 2-2 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 HAZ
11.03.2023 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 0-0 HT 0-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
22.10.2022 Frosinone Frosinone 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
10.02.2018 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 1-0 HT 0-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
16.09.2017 Frosinone Frosinone 3-2 HT 2-2 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
11.03.2017 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 1-0 HT 0-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTB

Frosinone 0-3 FC Bari 1908 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Frosinone
0-3
AWAY FC Bari 1908
1.84 xG 1.21
44% Ball Possession 56%
25 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 3
310 Passes 406
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
25 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Frosinone vs FC Bari 1908
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Bari 1908 swept aside Frosinone 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Frosinone at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Frosinone had 44% of the ball to FC Bari 1908's 56%, shots finished 25-13, expected goals 1.84 to 1.21 — on chances, Frosinone could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Bari 1908 led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Frosinone and 1.33 for FC Bari 1908.

What was the final score of Frosinone vs FC Bari 1908?

Frosinone 0-3 FC Bari 1908 in the Italy - Serie B on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Frosinone vs FC Bari 1908?

Before kick-off our model rated a Frosinone win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Frosinone 43%, draw 30%, FC Bari 1908 27%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Frosinone), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Frosinone) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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