Mantova vs Cittadella Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mantova v Cittadella — Team-Based Signals
Mantova vs Cittadella Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
6-0
HT 4-0
Mantova
İTB
1-3
HT 1-1
Cittadella
İTB
2-1
HT 0-0
Cittadella
İTB
0-2
HT 0-0
Mantova
İTB
Mantova 1-0 Cittadella — Actual Match Statistics
Mantova nicked a narrow win over Cittadella 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mantova as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Mantova had 61% of the ball to Cittadella's 39%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 2.35 to 0.63 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Mantova's control.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Mantova and 2.50 for Cittadella.
What was the final score of Mantova vs Cittadella?
Mantova 1-0 Cittadella in the Italy - Serie B on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mantova vs Cittadella?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mantova win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Mantova 43%, draw 34%, Cittadella 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mantova), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.