Spezia vs Carrarese Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Spezia v Carrarese — Team-Based Signals
Spezia 4-2 Carrarese — Actual Match Statistics
Spezia got the better of Carrarese 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Spezia as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Spezia had 52% of the ball to Carrarese's 48%, shots finished 19-12, expected goals 3.40 to 0.83.
What was the final score of Spezia vs Carrarese?
Spezia 4-2 Carrarese in the Italy - Serie B on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Spezia vs Carrarese?
Before kick-off our model rated a Spezia win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Spezia 48%, draw 27%, Carrarese 26%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spezia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.