San Marcos 2-1 Cobresal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Cup, 2 Feb 2025

📅02/02/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.3pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.9pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+1.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.5pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Marcos EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Cobresal EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.01/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.75
+4% / +114% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -47%
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
302 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
Crosses 11.9
Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Marcos
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Cobresal
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
268 Passes 321
70% Pass Accuracy 74%
09.08.2015 San Marcos San Marcos 1-2 HT 0-0 Cobresal Cobresal ŞİL
08.02.2015 San Marcos San Marcos 1-1 HT 0-0 Cobresal Cobresal ŞİL
24.08.2014 Cobresal Cobresal 0-0 HT 0-0 San Marcos San Marcos ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Marcos
2-1
AWAY Cobresal
0 Corners 0
0 Passes 0
POST-MATCH San Marcos vs Cobresal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Marcos nicked a narrow win over Cobresal 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had San Marcos as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Cobresal led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for San Marcos and 1.00 for Cobresal.

What was the final score of San Marcos vs Cobresal?

San Marcos 2-1 Cobresal in the Chile - Cup on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Marcos vs Cobresal?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Marcos win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split San Marcos 42%, draw 25%, Cobresal 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Marcos) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (San Marcos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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