Palestino 2-1 Union Espanola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Cup, 2 Feb 2025

📅02/02/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.15
Over 2.5
48%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.55
No
51%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-3.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
43%
+8.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
57%
-9.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.0pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Palestino EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Espanola EU Bookmakers 32%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
1.88/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/0.44
+92% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +129%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
305 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
Crosses 13.0
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Palestino
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Union Espanola
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.04 xG 1.51
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
241 Passes 342
71% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
03.11.2024 Union Espanola Union Espanola 2-3 HT 1-1 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
24.05.2024 Palestino Palestino 0-1 HT 0-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
23.09.2023 Palestino Palestino 2-1 HT 1-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
20.03.2023 Union Espanola Union Espanola 2-0 HT 1-0 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
02.07.2022 Palestino Palestino 1-0 HT 1-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
06.02.2022 Union Espanola Union Espanola 1-1 HT 1-0 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Palestino
2-1
AWAY Union Espanola
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
2 Passes 1
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Palestino vs Union Espanola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Palestino squeezed past Union Espanola 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Palestino as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Palestino had 53% of the ball to Union Espanola's 47%, shots finished 14-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palestino had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Palestino and 1.17 for Union Espanola.

What was the final score of Palestino vs Union Espanola?

Palestino 2-1 Union Espanola in the Chile - Cup on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Palestino vs Union Espanola?

Before kick-off our model rated a Palestino win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Palestino 41%, draw 26%, Union Espanola 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palestino) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Palestino) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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