Union Espanola 2-3 Palestino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.07
Over 2.5
46%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.6
No
54%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-6.9pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.4pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+10.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-10.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.4pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Espanola EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Palestino EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +9%
1.41/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.13
+48% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +17%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
277 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
20.0 Crosses 18.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Espanola
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Palestino
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.66 xG 1.27
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
342 Passes 255
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
23 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.05.2024 Palestino Palestino 0-1 HT 0-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
23.09.2023 Palestino Palestino 2-1 HT 1-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
20.03.2023 Union Espanola Union Espanola 2-0 HT 1-0 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
02.07.2022 Palestino Palestino 1-0 HT 1-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
06.02.2022 Union Espanola Union Espanola 1-1 HT 1-0 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
09.11.2021 Union Espanola Union Espanola 1-3 HT 0-2 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Espanola
2-3
AWAY Palestino
1.39 xG 1.41
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 7
390 Passes 204
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
23 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Union Espanola vs Palestino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Palestino squeezed past Union Espanola 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Palestino made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Union Espanola had 62% of the ball to Palestino's 38%, shots finished 16-18, expected goals 1.39 to 1.41.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palestino led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Union Espanola and 1.17 for Palestino.

What was the final score of Union Espanola vs Palestino?

Union Espanola 2-3 Palestino in the Chile - Premier League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Espanola vs Palestino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Espanola win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Union Espanola 39%, draw 29%, Palestino 32%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Union Espanola) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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