Audax Italiano 4-1 Copiapo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
57%
-5.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.4pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+5.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.4pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Audax Italiano EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Copiapo EU Bookmakers 22%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -22%
1.48/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.60
-16% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -33%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 73%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
25.5 Crosses 15.1
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Audax Italiano
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Copiapo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.89 xG 1.47
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
360 Passes 261
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.05.2024 Copiapo Copiapo 2-1 HT 1-1 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
16.07.2023 Copiapo Copiapo 1-0 HT 1-0 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
30.01.2023 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 3-0 HT 1-0 Copiapo Copiapo ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Audax Italiano
4-1
AWAY Copiapo
1.67 xG 1.62
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 5
332 Passes 296
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 11
22 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Audax Italiano vs Copiapo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Audax Italiano swept aside Copiapo 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Audax Italiano as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Audax Italiano had 51% of the ball to Copiapo's 49%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.67 to 1.62.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Copiapo led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Audax Italiano and 1.00 for Copiapo.

What was the final score of Audax Italiano vs Copiapo?

Audax Italiano 4-1 Copiapo in the Chile - Premier League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Audax Italiano vs Copiapo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Audax Italiano win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Audax Italiano 51%, draw 24%, Copiapo 24%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Audax Italiano) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Audax Italiano) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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