Copiapo 2-1 Audax Italiano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+3.3pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.6pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.0pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Copiapo EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Audax Italiano EU Bookmakers 40%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +30%
1.43/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.23
+7% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / +19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
317 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
18.3 Crosses 12.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Copiapo
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Audax Italiano
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.35 xG 0.95
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
281 Passes 354
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.07.2023 Copiapo Copiapo 1-0 HT 1-0 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
30.01.2023 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 3-0 HT 1-0 Copiapo Copiapo ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Copiapo
2-1
AWAY Audax Italiano
1.70 xG 0.76
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
221 Passes 371
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 29
12 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Copiapo vs Audax Italiano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Copiapo squeezed past Audax Italiano 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 35% — and on the day Copiapo made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Copiapo had 40% of the ball to Audax Italiano's 60%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.70 to 0.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Copiapo and 1.50 for Audax Italiano.

What was the final score of Copiapo vs Audax Italiano?

Copiapo 2-1 Audax Italiano in the Chile - Premier League on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Copiapo vs Audax Italiano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Copiapo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Copiapo 40%, draw 25%, Audax Italiano 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Copiapo), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Copiapo) ✓ BTTS Yes
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