U. Catolica 4-1 Cobreloa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.53
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
28%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
61%
-12.1pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.2pp
28%
Away Win
17%
+10.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.4pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME U. Catolica EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Cobreloa EU Bookmakers 20%
+8% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -23%
1.72/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/1.94
+4% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -69% / -59%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
371 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 74%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
23.6 Crosses 13.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME U. Catolica
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Cobreloa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 4
406 Passes 246
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
32 Box Touches 14
28 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.06.2018 U. Catolica 0-2 HT 0-2 Cobreloa Cobreloa ŞİLİK
11.06.2018 Cobreloa Cobreloa 1-2 HT 0-2 U. Catolica ŞİLİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME U. Catolica
4-1
AWAY Cobreloa
2.14 xG 0.21
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
244 Passes 226
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 12
12 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH U. Catolica vs Cobreloa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

U. Catolica swept aside Cobreloa 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had U. Catolica as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, U. Catolica had 51% of the ball to Cobreloa's 49%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 2.14 to 0.21.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for U. Catolica and 1.50 for Cobreloa.

What was the final score of U. Catolica vs Cobreloa?

U. Catolica 4-1 Cobreloa in the Chile - Premier League on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for U. Catolica vs Cobreloa?

Before kick-off our model rated a U. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split U. Catolica 49%, draw 23%, Cobreloa 28%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (U. Catolica) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (U. Catolica) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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