Cobreloa 2-2 U. Catolica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.2pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.3pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cobreloa EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY U. Catolica EU Bookmakers 39%
-13% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +16%
1.33/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.52
-25% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
277 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
26.4 Crosses 16.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cobreloa
1W-0D-2L
AWAY U. Catolica
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.21 xG 2.14
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
239 Passes 352
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 27
18 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 2
26.05.2024 U. Catolica 4-1 HT 1-1 Cobreloa Cobreloa ŞİL
17.06.2018 U. Catolica 0-2 HT 0-2 Cobreloa Cobreloa ŞİLİK
11.06.2018 Cobreloa Cobreloa 1-2 HT 0-2 U. Catolica ŞİLİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cobreloa
2-2
AWAY U. Catolica
1.75 xG 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
230 Passes 359
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
19 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cobreloa vs U. Catolica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cobreloa and U. Catolica shared the points in a 2-2 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Cobreloa had 44% of the ball to U. Catolica's 56%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 1.75 to 1.00.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, U. Catolica led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cobreloa and 2.00 for U. Catolica.

What was the final score of Cobreloa vs U. Catolica?

Cobreloa 2-2 U. Catolica in the Chile - Premier League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cobreloa vs U. Catolica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cobreloa win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Cobreloa 38%, draw 26%, U. Catolica 36%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cobreloa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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