Paderborn 1-2 Greuther Fürth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 2 Feb 2025

Paderborn
1 - 2 HT 0 - 1
Greuther Fürth
📅02/02/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Paderborn vs Greuther Fürth Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.72
Draw
22%
3.81
Away
22%
3.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
2.05
Over Pick
58%
1.7
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.08
Total Goals
0-1
20%
4.03
2-3
45%
1.84
4-5
27%
2.93
6+
8%
8.98
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
2.2
1/2
2%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.2
X/1
18%
4.34
X/2
8%
9.02
X/X
13%
5.82
2/1
3%
20.75
2/2
12%
6.7
2/X
4%
15.4
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Paderborn v Greuther Fürth — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Paderborn The Market 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Greuther Fürth The Market 26%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.01 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.22
1.02 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.77
Strong Attack Strength Strong
Average Defense Strength Average
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
359 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 73%
27 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2

Paderborn vs Greuther Fürth Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paderborn
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Greuther Fürth
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.43 xG 1.81
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
414 Passes 313
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.08.2024 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 1-1 HT 0-0 Paderborn Paderborn AL2
21.01.2024 Paderborn Paderborn 0-1 HT 0-1 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
30.07.2023 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 5-0 HT 3-0 Paderborn Paderborn AL2
02.04.2023 Paderborn Paderborn 3-2 HT 1-0 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
18.09.2022 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 2-1 HT 1-0 Paderborn Paderborn AL2
16.05.2021 Paderborn Paderborn 2-4 HT 2-2 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2

Paderborn 1-2 Greuther Fürth — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paderborn
1 - 2
AWAY Greuther Fürth
0.90 xG 1.27
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
326 Passes 229
75% Pass Accuracy 71%
26 Box Touches 17
34 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Paderborn vs Greuther Fürth
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Greuther Fürth nicked a narrow win over Paderborn 2-1 on their travels. Half-time: 0-1.

Our model won't enjoy this one — Paderborn at 56% was the clear read, and the result ignored it. Over a season these leads pay; on a single Tuesday, anything can happen. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

By the numbers, possession split 57% to 43% in Paderborn's favour, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 0.90 to 1.27.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Greuther Fürth led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Paderborn against 2.50 for Greuther Fürth.

Paderborn vs Greuther Fürth Result & Final Score

Paderborn 1 - 2 Greuther Fürth in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Paderborn vs Greuther Fürth Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Paderborn win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Paderborn 56%, draw 22%, Greuther Fürth 22%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Paderborn) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paderborn) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL2 More Germany - 2. Bundesliga
2 Feb 2025
15:30 Kaiserslautern vs Preussen Münster Analysis →
15:30 Hamburg vs Hannover 96 Analysis →