RB Leipzig (K) 0-1 Bayern München (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 2 Feb 2025

RB Leipzig (K)
0-1 HT 0-1
Bayern München (K)
📅02/02/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-3 ✗
Germany - Women's Bundesliga – 2025/2026

RB Leipzig (K) vs Bayern München (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
9.57
Draw
17%
5.71
Away
68%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
5%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
58%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
7%
+7.5pp
17%
Draw
14%
+3.1pp
68%
Away Win
79%
-10.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.6pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

RB Leipzig (K) v Bayern München (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RB Leipzig (K) EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayern München (K) EU Bookmakers 84%
+85% / +85% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.49/2.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.58/0.45
+150% / +137% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -12%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
250 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 530 · 88%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.9
11.0 Crosses 20.2
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

RB Leipzig (K) vs Bayern München (K) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RB Leipzig (K)
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Bayern München (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.50
0.93 xG 3.77
34% Ball Possession 66%
8 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 4
256 Passes 568
74% Pass Accuracy 87%
8 Box Touches 31
8 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.09.2024 Bayern München (K) Bayern München (K) 6-2 HT 2-1 RB Leipzig (K) RB Leipzig (K) ALKB
16.03.2024 Bayern München (K) Bayern München (K) 5-0 HT 3-0 RB Leipzig (K) RB Leipzig (K) ALKB

RB Leipzig (K) 0-1 Bayern München (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RB Leipzig (K)
0-1
AWAY Bayern München (K)
0.24 xG 1.74
28% Ball Possession 72%
7 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 14
199 Passes 630
71% Pass Accuracy 89%
3 Box Touches 41
3 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH RB Leipzig (K) vs Bayern München (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern München (K) nicked a narrow win over RB Leipzig (K) 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bayern München (K) as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, RB Leipzig (K) had 28% of the ball to Bayern München (K)'s 72%, shots finished 7-15, expected goals 0.24 to 1.74 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Bayern München (K)'s control.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bayern München (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for RB Leipzig (K) and 5.50 for Bayern München (K).

What was the final score of RB Leipzig (K) vs Bayern München (K)?

RB Leipzig (K) 0-1 Bayern München (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RB Leipzig (K) vs Bayern München (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayern München (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split RB Leipzig (K) 15%, draw 17%, Bayern München (K) 68%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern München (K)) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bayern München (K)) ✗ Over 2.5
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