KRC Genk II 3-3 Waasland-Beveren — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 2 Feb 2025

📅02/02/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
45%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.0
Over 2.5
60%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
3.55
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
31%
3.08
6+ Goals
8%
10.45
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.08 — our 31% vs market 25.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
32%
-4.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
45%
Away Win
42%
+2.6pp
40%
Under 2.5
46%
-6.5pp
60%
Over 2.5
54%
+6.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.7pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KRC Genk II EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Waasland-Beveren EU Bookmakers 46%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.51/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/0.98
+14% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 80%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
14.3 Crosses 18.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KRC Genk II
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Waasland-Beveren
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.48 xG 1.41
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
277 Passes 402
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 31
13 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.09.2024 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 3-2 HT 1-1 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II BEL2
16.12.2023 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 2-1 HT 0-0 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II BEL2
13.08.2023 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II 1-0 HT 1-0 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL2
03.02.2023 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II 2-2 HT 1-1 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL2
30.10.2022 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 3-0 HT 2-0 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KRC Genk II
3-3
AWAY Waasland-Beveren
0.80 xG 2.31
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
305 Passes 333
72% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 27
22 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH KRC Genk II vs Waasland-Beveren
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KRC Genk II and Waasland-Beveren couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Waasland-Beveren at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, KRC Genk II had 48% of the ball to Waasland-Beveren's 52%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 0.80 to 2.31.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Waasland-Beveren led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for KRC Genk II and 2.00 for Waasland-Beveren.

What was the final score of KRC Genk II vs Waasland-Beveren?

KRC Genk II 3-3 Waasland-Beveren in the Belgium - 1st Division on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KRC Genk II vs Waasland-Beveren?

Before kick-off our model rated an Waasland-Beveren win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split KRC Genk II 27%, draw 28%, Waasland-Beveren 45%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Waasland-Beveren) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Waasland-Beveren) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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