Waasland-Beveren 3-2 KRC Genk II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.1
Over 2.5
44%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.6
No
52%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
4.1
2-3 Goals
36%
1.85
4-5 Goals
21%
3.06
6+ Goals
11%
9.73
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.1 — our 32% vs market 19.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
47%
-8.2pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.5pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+5.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
44%
+11.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
56%
-11.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.8pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Waasland-Beveren EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY KRC Genk II EU Bookmakers 32%
-16% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.37/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.42
+4% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
391 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.1
19.7 Crosses 13.6
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Waasland-Beveren
2W-1D-1L
AWAY KRC Genk II
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.41 xG 1.37
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
422 Passes 271
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
31 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.12.2023 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 2-1 HT 0-0 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II BEL2
13.08.2023 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II 1-0 HT 1-0 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL2
03.02.2023 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II 2-2 HT 1-1 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL2
30.10.2022 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 3-0 HT 2-0 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Waasland-Beveren
3-2
AWAY KRC Genk II
1.45 xG 1.89
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 11
325 Passes 298
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
32 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 35
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Waasland-Beveren vs KRC Genk II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Waasland-Beveren nicked a narrow win over KRC Genk II 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Waasland-Beveren made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Waasland-Beveren had 50% of the ball to KRC Genk II's 50%, shots finished 14-17, expected goals 1.45 to 1.89 — the balance of chances actually favoured KRC Genk II.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Waasland-Beveren had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Waasland-Beveren and 1.00 for KRC Genk II.

What was the final score of Waasland-Beveren vs KRC Genk II?

Waasland-Beveren 3-2 KRC Genk II in the Belgium - 1st Division on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Waasland-Beveren vs KRC Genk II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Waasland-Beveren win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Waasland-Beveren 39%, draw 27%, KRC Genk II 35%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Waasland-Beveren) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Waasland-Beveren) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BEL2 More Belgium - 1st Division
15 Sep 2024
14:30 AS Eupen vs SV Zulte Waregem Analysis →
20:15 Deinze vs La Louvière Analysis →