AS Eupen 1-3 SV Zulte Waregem — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.55
2-3 Goals
44%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.38
6+ Goals
12%
12.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
10%
1/X
12%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-0.7pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.7pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AS Eupen EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY SV Zulte Waregem EU Bookmakers 37%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.73/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.04
+19% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +41%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
308 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
Crosses 17.2
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AS Eupen
1W-2D-3L
AWAY SV Zulte Waregem
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
2.19 xG 2.47
52% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
360 Passes 314
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.04.2023 AS Eupen AS Eupen 1-5 HT 0-4 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem BEL
12.11.2022 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem 5-5 HT 2-3 AS Eupen AS Eupen BEL
12.03.2022 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem 3-0 HT 1-0 AS Eupen AS Eupen BEL
01.12.2021 AS Eupen AS Eupen 3-2 HT 0-2 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem BEK
06.11.2021 AS Eupen AS Eupen 1-1 HT 1-1 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem BEL
05.04.2021 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem 2-1 HT 0-1 AS Eupen AS Eupen BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AS Eupen
1-3
AWAY SV Zulte Waregem
2.36 xG 1.55
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 23
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
297 Passes 395
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
24 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AS Eupen vs SV Zulte Waregem
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SV Zulte Waregem got the better of AS Eupen 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 34% — and on the day SV Zulte Waregem made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, AS Eupen had 45% of the ball to SV Zulte Waregem's 55%, shots finished 9-23, expected goals 2.36 to 1.55 — the balance of chances actually favoured AS Eupen.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, SV Zulte Waregem led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for AS Eupen and 3.00 for SV Zulte Waregem.

What was the final score of AS Eupen vs SV Zulte Waregem?

AS Eupen 1-3 SV Zulte Waregem in the Belgium - 1st Division on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AS Eupen vs SV Zulte Waregem?

Before kick-off our model rated a AS Eupen win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split AS Eupen 38%, draw 27%, SV Zulte Waregem 34%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AS Eupen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AS Eupen) ✓ BTTS Yes
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