Nasarawa United 2-0 Niger Tornadoes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 2 Feb 2025

📅02/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.62
Over 2.5
52%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
57%
-5.2pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+4.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
58%
-9.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
42%
+9.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.5pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nasarawa United EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Niger Tornadoes EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.50/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.78
+2% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / -21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
351 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 211 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nasarawa United
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Niger Tornadoes
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.09.2024 Niger Tornadoes Niger Tornadoes 0-0 HT 0-0 Nasarawa United Nasarawa United NIJ
21.02.2022 Nasarawa United Nasarawa United 1-0 HT 1-0 Niger Tornadoes Niger Tornadoes NIJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nasarawa United
2-0
AWAY Niger Tornadoes
46% Ball Possession 54%
18 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nasarawa United vs Niger Tornadoes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nasarawa United saw off Niger Tornadoes 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nasarawa United as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Nasarawa United had 46% of the ball to Niger Tornadoes's 54%, shots finished 18-14.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Nasarawa United had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Nasarawa United and 0.00 for Niger Tornadoes.

What was the final score of Nasarawa United vs Niger Tornadoes?

Nasarawa United 2-0 Niger Tornadoes in the Nigeria NPFL on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nasarawa United vs Niger Tornadoes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nasarawa United win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Nasarawa United 52%, draw 26%, Niger Tornadoes 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nasarawa United), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nasarawa United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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