Niger Tornadoes 0-0 Nasarawa United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.48
Over 2.5
39%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.53
No
60%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
60%
-4.4pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+5.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
64%
-3.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
36%
+3.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
36%
+4.7pp
60%
BTTS No
64%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Niger Tornadoes EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Nasarawa United EU Bookmakers 18%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -10%
1.68/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.40
+1% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
353 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Niger Tornadoes
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Nasarawa United
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
21.02.2022 Nasarawa United Nasarawa United 1-0 HT 1-0 Niger Tornadoes Niger Tornadoes NIJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Niger Tornadoes
0-0
AWAY Nasarawa United
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Niger Tornadoes vs Nasarawa United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Niger Tornadoes and Nasarawa United played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Niger Tornadoes at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Niger Tornadoes had 61% of the ball to Nasarawa United's 39%, shots finished 16-8.

What was the final score of Niger Tornadoes vs Nasarawa United?

Niger Tornadoes 0-0 Nasarawa United in the Nigeria NPFL on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Niger Tornadoes vs Nasarawa United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Niger Tornadoes win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Niger Tornadoes 55%, draw 24%, Nasarawa United 21%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Niger Tornadoes) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Niger Tornadoes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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