Shooting Stars 1-1 Plateau United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.54
Over 2.5
43%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.4
No
52%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
59%
-7.1pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.2pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+4.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
61%
-3.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
39%
+3.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
38%
+10.6pp
52%
BTTS No
62%
-10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shooting Stars EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Plateau United EU Bookmakers 19%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +2%
2.08/0.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.39
+26% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +106% / +5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
361 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shooting Stars
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Plateau United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
30.09.2023 Shooting Stars Shooting Stars 2-1 HT 1-0 Plateau United Plateau United NIJ
16.02.2022 Plateau United Plateau United 3-1 HT 1-1 Shooting Stars Shooting Stars NIJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shooting Stars
1-1
AWAY Plateau United
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shooting Stars vs Plateau United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shooting Stars and Plateau United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Shooting Stars at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Shooting Stars had 52% of the ball to Plateau United's 48%, shots finished 17-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Shooting Stars and 2.00 for Plateau United.

What was the final score of Shooting Stars vs Plateau United?

Shooting Stars 1-1 Plateau United in the Nigeria NPFL on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shooting Stars vs Plateau United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shooting Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Shooting Stars 52%, draw 27%, Plateau United 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Shooting Stars), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shooting Stars) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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