Katsina United 2-1 Bendel Insurance — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.8
Draw
35%
3.04
Away
15%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
52%
-2.3pp
35%
Draw
30%
+5.5pp
15%
Away Win
18%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Katsina United EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Bendel Insurance EU Bookmakers 21%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
1.91/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.49
+49% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
279 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Katsina United vs Bendel Insurance
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Katsina United squeezed past Bendel Insurance 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Katsina United as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Katsina United vs Bendel Insurance?

Katsina United 2-1 Bendel Insurance in the Nigeria NPFL on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Katsina United vs Bendel Insurance?

Before kick-off our model rated a Katsina United win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Katsina United 50%, draw 35%, Bendel Insurance 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Katsina United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Katsina United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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