Bayelsa United 1-1 Kano Pillars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.9
No
63%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
57%
-1.4pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.5pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.3pp
37%
BTTS Yes
49%
-11.4pp
63%
BTTS No
51%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayelsa United EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Kano Pillars EU Bookmakers 21%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.75/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/1.54
+17% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -6%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
365 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayelsa United
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Kano Pillars
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
17.03.2024 Bayelsa United Bayelsa United 2-1 HT 0-0 Kano Pillars Kano Pillars NIJ
POST-MATCH Bayelsa United vs Kano Pillars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayelsa United and Kano Pillars shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Bayelsa United carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (63%) missed.

What was the final score of Bayelsa United vs Kano Pillars?

Bayelsa United 1-1 Kano Pillars in the Nigeria NPFL on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayelsa United vs Kano Pillars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayelsa United win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Bayelsa United 56%, draw 23%, Kano Pillars 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bayelsa United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bayelsa United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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