Bayelsa United 2-1 Kano Pillars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.59
Over 2.5
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.19
No
61%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
56%
-3.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+4.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.9pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayelsa United EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Kano Pillars EU Bookmakers 21%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -12%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.48
+36% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -13%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
358 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Bayelsa United vs Kano Pillars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayelsa United edged past Kano Pillars 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bayelsa United as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Bayelsa United vs Kano Pillars?

Bayelsa United 2-1 Kano Pillars in the Nigeria NPFL on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayelsa United vs Kano Pillars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayelsa United win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Bayelsa United 52%, draw 25%, Kano Pillars 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayelsa United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bayelsa United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NIJ More Nigeria NPFL
17 Mar 2024
18:00 Enugu Rangers vs Lobi Stars Analysis →
18:00 Bendel Insurance vs Doma United Analysis →
18:00 Katsina United vs Plateau United Analysis →
18:00 Sporting Lagos vs Kwara United Analysis →
18:00 Gombe United vs Akwa United Analysis →
18:00 Abia Warriors vs Sunshine Stars Analysis →