Bendel Insurance 4-0 Doma United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.49
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
11%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.33
Over 2.5
43%
3.14
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
3.49
No
62%
1.25
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
3%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
63%
-3.5pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.4pp
11%
Away Win
11%
+0.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
72%
-14.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
28%
+14.3pp
38%
BTTS Yes
24%
+13.6pp
62%
BTTS No
76%
-13.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bendel Insurance EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Doma United EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +82% / -21%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
341 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bendel Insurance
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Doma United
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
08.11.2023 Doma United Doma United 0-0 HT 0-0 Bendel Insurance Bendel Insurance NIJ
POST-MATCH Bendel Insurance vs Doma United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bendel Insurance swept aside Doma United 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bendel Insurance as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (62%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

What was the final score of Bendel Insurance vs Doma United?

Bendel Insurance 4-0 Doma United in the Nigeria NPFL on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bendel Insurance vs Doma United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bendel Insurance win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Bendel Insurance 60%, draw 29%, Doma United 11%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bendel Insurance), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bendel Insurance) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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