Enugu Rangers 2-1 Lobi Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.64
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
20%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.44
Over 2.5
52%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.75
No
54%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
57%
+0.6pp
22%
Draw
27%
-4.7pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+4.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
66%
-17.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
34%
+17.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
32%
+13.9pp
54%
BTTS No
68%
-13.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Enugu Rangers EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Lobi Stars EU Bookmakers 19%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -18%
1.71/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/1.83
+17% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -25%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
349 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Enugu Rangers
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Lobi Stars
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
19.03.2022 Enugu Rangers Enugu Rangers 5-3 HT 3-0 Lobi Stars Lobi Stars NIJ
09.06.2021 Lobi Stars Lobi Stars 1-0 HT 1-0 Enugu Rangers Enugu Rangers NIJ
24.01.2021 Enugu Rangers Enugu Rangers 0-0 HT 0-0 Lobi Stars Lobi Stars NIJ
POST-MATCH Enugu Rangers vs Lobi Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Enugu Rangers squeezed past Lobi Stars 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Enugu Rangers as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Enugu Rangers and 1.33 for Lobi Stars.

What was the final score of Enugu Rangers vs Lobi Stars?

Enugu Rangers 2-1 Lobi Stars in the Nigeria NPFL on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Enugu Rangers vs Lobi Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Enugu Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Enugu Rangers 58%, draw 22%, Lobi Stars 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Enugu Rangers), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Enugu Rangers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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