Katsina United 2-1 Plateau United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 17 Mar 2024

Katsina United
2-1 HT 1-1
Plateau United
📅17/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Nigeria NPFL – 2023/2024

Katsina United vs Plateau United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
20%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.45
Over 2.5
38%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.44
No
55%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-4.9pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.7pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+1.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
65%
-3.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
35%
+3.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
37%
+8.2pp
55%
BTTS No
63%
-8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Katsina United v Plateau United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Katsina United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Plateau United EU Bookmakers 21%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +9%
1.66/0.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.06
+13% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +149% / +26%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Katsina United vs Plateau United Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Katsina United
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Plateau United
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
The Meetings
06.03.2022 Plateau United Plateau United 1-0 HT 0-0 Katsina United Katsina United NIJ
23.01.2021 Katsina United Katsina United 0-0 HT 0-0 Plateau United Plateau United NIJ
POST-MATCH Katsina United vs Plateau United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Katsina United nicked a narrow win over Plateau United 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Katsina United as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Plateau United led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Katsina United and 0.50 for Plateau United.

What was the final score of Katsina United vs Plateau United?

Katsina United 2-1 Plateau United in the Nigeria NPFL on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Katsina United vs Plateau United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Katsina United win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Katsina United 49%, draw 31%, Plateau United 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Katsina United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Katsina United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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