Sporting CP U23 1-1 Gil Vicente U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 2 Feb 2025

📅02/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.95
Over 2.5
45%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
4%
X/2
14%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
48%
-8.5pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.1pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.6pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting CP U23 EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Gil Vicente U23 EU Bookmakers 30%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +63% / +63%
2.34/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.65/1.32
+28% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +100% / +38%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
301 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting CP U23
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Gil Vicente U23
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.04.2024 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 3-1 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 PORU23
06.02.2024 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 0-1 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting CP U23
1-1
AWAY Gil Vicente U23
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Sporting CP U23 vs Gil Vicente U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP U23 and Gil Vicente U23 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Sporting CP U23 had 46% of the ball to Gil Vicente U23's 54%, shots finished 9-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sporting CP U23 had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sporting CP U23 and 0.50 for Gil Vicente U23.

What was the final score of Sporting CP U23 vs Gil Vicente U23?

Sporting CP U23 1-1 Gil Vicente U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting CP U23 vs Gil Vicente U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting CP U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP U23 39%, draw 29%, Gil Vicente U23 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sporting CP U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting CP U23) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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