Sporting CP U23 3-1 Gil Vicente U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 9 Apr 2024

📅09/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.53
Draw
29%
4.19
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.59
Over 2.5
53%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
61%
-16.0pp
29%
Draw
21%
+8.5pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+7.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
35%
+12.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
65%
-12.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.6pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting CP U23 EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Gil Vicente U23 EU Bookmakers 21%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +61% / +61%
0.34/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.52/2.02
-82% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
407 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting CP U23
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Gil Vicente U23
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
06.02.2024 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 0-1 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting CP U23
3-1
AWAY Gil Vicente U23
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 2
6 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sporting CP U23 vs Gil Vicente U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP U23 got the better of Gil Vicente U23 3-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sporting CP U23 as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Sporting CP U23 had 65% of the ball to Gil Vicente U23's 35%, shots finished 15-2.

What was the final score of Sporting CP U23 vs Gil Vicente U23?

Sporting CP U23 3-1 Gil Vicente U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 09/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting CP U23 vs Gil Vicente U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting CP U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP U23 45%, draw 29%, Gil Vicente U23 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP U23), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting CP U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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