Estoril U23 3-1 Torreense U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 9 Apr 2024

📅09/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.53
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
31%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.15
Over 2.5
45%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
61%
-17.7pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.6pp
31%
Away Win
18%
+13.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
43%
+12.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
57%
-12.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.3pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estoril U23 EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Torreense U23 EU Bookmakers 21%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
3.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.51
+95% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +150%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
504 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estoril U23
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Torreense U23
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
06.02.2024 Torreense U23 Torreense U23 1-2 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estoril U23
3-1
AWAY Torreense U23
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Estoril U23 vs Torreense U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estoril U23 beat Torreense U23 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Estoril U23 as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Estoril U23 had 55% of the ball to Torreense U23's 45%, shots finished 13-11.

What was the final score of Estoril U23 vs Torreense U23?

Estoril U23 3-1 Torreense U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 09/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estoril U23 vs Torreense U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estoril U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Estoril U23 44%, draw 26%, Torreense U23 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estoril U23) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Estoril U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
PORU23 More Portugal - U23 National Championship
9 Apr 2024
13:00 Santa Clara U23 vs Academico Viseu U23 Analysis →
13:00 Farense U23 vs Rio Ave U23 Analysis →
13:00 Portimonense U23 vs Leixoes U23 Analysis →
15:00 Vizela U23 vs Benfica U23 Analysis →
19:00 Sporting CP U23 vs Gil Vicente U23 Analysis →
19:00 Famalicao U23 vs Estrela U23 Analysis →