Famalicao U23 4-0 Estrela U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 9 Apr 2024

📅09/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
30%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
3%
1/X
11%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
60%
-14.3pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.9pp
30%
Away Win
18%
+12.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.2pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Famalicao U23 EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Estrela U23 EU Bookmakers 21%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.31/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.66
-22% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +15%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
377 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Famalicao U23
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Estrela U23
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
5 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
06.02.2024 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 0-2 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Famalicao U23
4-0
AWAY Estrela U23
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Famalicao U23 vs Estrela U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Famalicao U23 ran out comfortable winners over Estrela U23 4-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Famalicao U23 as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Famalicao U23 had 58% of the ball to Estrela U23's 42%, shots finished 17-6.

What was the final score of Famalicao U23 vs Estrela U23?

Famalicao U23 4-0 Estrela U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 09/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Famalicao U23 vs Estrela U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Famalicao U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Famalicao U23 45%, draw 25%, Estrela U23 30%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Famalicao U23) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Famalicao U23) ✗ Under 2.5
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