Estrela U23 0-2 Famalicao U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 6 Feb 2024

Estrela U23
0-2
Famalicao U23
📅06/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Portugal - U23 National Championship – 2023/2024

Estrela U23 vs Famalicao U23 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.25
Draw
34%
3.35
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.82
Over 2.5
35%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.73
No
57%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
26%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
41%
-6.9pp
34%
Draw
26%
+7.6pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-0.8pp
65%
Under 2.5
51%
+14.0pp
35%
Over 2.5
49%
-14.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
54%
-10.3pp
57%
BTTS No
46%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Estrela U23 v Famalicao U23 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estrela U23 EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Famalicao U23 EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +30%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
355 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Estrela U23 0-2 Famalicao U23 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estrela U23
0-2
AWAY Famalicao U23
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Estrela U23 vs Famalicao U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Famalicao U23 got the better of Estrela U23 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (34% / 34% / 32%) promised a tight game; Famalicao U23 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Estrela U23 had 47% of the ball to Famalicao U23's 53%, shots finished 7-5.

What was the final score of Estrela U23 vs Famalicao U23?

Estrela U23 0-2 Famalicao U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 06/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estrela U23 vs Famalicao U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estrela U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Estrela U23 34%, draw 34%, Famalicao U23 32%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/34/32) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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