Rio Ave U23 6-2 Farense U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 6 Feb 2024

📅06/02/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.53
Draw
34%
3.28
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.8
Over 2.5
53%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
15%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
36%
-5.8pp
34%
Draw
27%
+6.5pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-0.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.6pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rio Ave U23 EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Farense U23 EU Bookmakers 40%
+44% / +44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+150% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rio Ave U23
6-2
AWAY Farense U23
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
11 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rio Ave U23 vs Farense U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rio Ave U23 swept aside Farense U23 6-2. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 34% / 36% — and on the day Rio Ave U23 made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Rio Ave U23 had 54% of the ball to Farense U23's 46%, shots finished 15-10.

What was the final score of Rio Ave U23 vs Farense U23?

Rio Ave U23 6-2 Farense U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 06/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rio Ave U23 vs Farense U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Farense U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Rio Ave U23 30%, draw 34%, Farense U23 36%. The final score 6-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Farense U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Farense U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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