Benfica U23 3-1 Vizela U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 6 Feb 2024

📅06/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.76
Draw
33%
3.72
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.38
Over 2.5
57%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
14%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
52%
-11.7pp
33%
Draw
23%
+9.5pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.7pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benfica U23 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Vizela U23 EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -35%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
380 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benfica U23
3-1
AWAY Vizela U23
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Benfica U23 vs Vizela U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benfica U23 got the better of Vizela U23 3-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Benfica U23 as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Benfica U23 had 60% of the ball to Vizela U23's 40%, shots finished 17-14.

What was the final score of Benfica U23 vs Vizela U23?

Benfica U23 3-1 Vizela U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 06/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benfica U23 vs Vizela U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Benfica U23 41%, draw 33%, Vizela U23 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica U23), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Benfica U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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