Portimonense U23 1-1 Leixoes U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 9 Apr 2024

📅09/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-8.5pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.6pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+5.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.2pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portimonense U23 EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Leixoes U23 EU Bookmakers 26%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/3.00
+9% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +61% / -39%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
344 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portimonense U23
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Leixoes U23
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
05.02.2024 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 1-2 HT 0-1 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portimonense U23
1-1
AWAY Leixoes U23
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Portimonense U23 vs Leixoes U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portimonense U23 and Leixoes U23 shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Portimonense U23 at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Portimonense U23 had 43% of the ball to Leixoes U23's 57%, shots finished 7-10.

What was the final score of Portimonense U23 vs Leixoes U23?

Portimonense U23 1-1 Leixoes U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 09/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portimonense U23 vs Leixoes U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portimonense U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Portimonense U23 46%, draw 26%, Leixoes U23 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Portimonense U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Portimonense U23) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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