Vizela U23 2-2 Benfica U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 9 Apr 2024

📅09/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
30%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.51
Over 2.5
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.41
No
40%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
12%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+3.8pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.8pp
30%
Away Win
39%
-8.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+7.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-7.3pp
60%
BTTS Yes
67%
-6.7pp
40%
BTTS No
33%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vizela U23 EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Benfica U23 EU Bookmakers 43%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+18% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
325 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vizela U23
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Benfica U23
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.02.2024 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 3-1 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vizela U23
2-2
AWAY Benfica U23
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Vizela U23 vs Benfica U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vizela U23 and Benfica U23 shared the points in a 2-2 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Vizela U23 at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Vizela U23 had 59% of the ball to Benfica U23's 41%, shots finished 14-12.

What was the final score of Vizela U23 vs Benfica U23?

Vizela U23 2-2 Benfica U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 09/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vizela U23 vs Benfica U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vizela U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Vizela U23 41%, draw 29%, Benfica U23 30%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vizela U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vizela U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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