Farense U23 1-2 Rio Ave U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 9 Apr 2024

📅09/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+1.4pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.7pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+2.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.6pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Farense U23 EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Rio Ave U23 EU Bookmakers 38%
+44% / +44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -53% / -53%
3.05/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
+88% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -22%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Farense U23
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Rio Ave U23
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 6.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 11
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
06.02.2024 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 6-2 Farense U23 Farense U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Farense U23
1-2
AWAY Rio Ave U23
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Farense U23 vs Rio Ave U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rio Ave U23 squeezed past Farense U23 2-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 42% / 22% / 37% — and on the day Rio Ave U23 made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Farense U23 had 55% of the ball to Rio Ave U23's 45%, shots finished 15-13.

What was the final score of Farense U23 vs Rio Ave U23?

Farense U23 1-2 Rio Ave U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 09/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Farense U23 vs Rio Ave U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Farense U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Farense U23 42%, draw 22%, Rio Ave U23 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Farense U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Farense U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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