Universitatea Craiova 4-1 CSMS Iaşi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 2 Feb 2025

📅02/02/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.34
Draw
24%
4.62
Away
17%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.78
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
2.95
6+ Goals
9%
9.37
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
70%
-10.6pp
24%
Draw
18%
+5.8pp
17%
Away Win
12%
+4.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.5pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitatea Craiova EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY CSMS Iaşi EU Bookmakers 15%
+3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -5%
2.22/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.43
+0% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +5%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
445 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 79%
30.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
20.7 Crosses 14.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universitatea Craiova
3W-1D-2L
AWAY CSMS Iaşi
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
3.06 xG 2.62
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
417 Passes 148
82% Pass Accuracy 64%
41 Box Touches 26
35 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
15.09.2024 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi 2-0 HT 1-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
16.12.2023 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 2-2 HT 2-0 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi ROM
12.08.2023 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi 1-4 HT 1-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
02.02.2021 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi 0-3 HT 0-2 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
02.10.2020 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 1-0 HT 0-0 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi ROM
04.03.2020 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi 3-2 HT 2-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitatea Craiova
4-1
AWAY CSMS Iaşi
1.33 xG 0.76
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
433 Passes 274
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Universitatea Craiova vs CSMS Iaşi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitatea Craiova cruised past CSMS Iaşi 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Universitatea Craiova as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Universitatea Craiova had 59% of the ball to CSMS Iaşi's 41%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 1.33 to 0.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universitatea Craiova had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Universitatea Craiova and 1.33 for CSMS Iaşi.

What was the final score of Universitatea Craiova vs CSMS Iaşi?

Universitatea Craiova 4-1 CSMS Iaşi in the Romania - 1st Division on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitatea Craiova vs CSMS Iaşi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universitatea Craiova win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Universitatea Craiova 59%, draw 24%, CSMS Iaşi 17%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universitatea Craiova), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Universitatea Craiova) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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