CSMS Iaşi vs Universitatea Craiova Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
CSMS Iaşi v Universitatea Craiova — Team-Based Signals
CSMS Iaşi vs Universitatea Craiova Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 2-0
CSMS Iaşi
ROM
1-4
HT 1-0
Universitatea Craiova
ROM
0-3
HT 0-2
Universitatea Craiova
ROM
1-0
HT 0-0
CSMS Iaşi
ROM
3-2
HT 2-0
Universitatea Craiova
ROK
2-5
HT 0-3
Universitatea Craiova
ROM
CSMS Iaşi 2-0 Universitatea Craiova — Actual Match Statistics
CSMS Iaşi saw off Universitatea Craiova 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Universitatea Craiova at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, CSMS Iaşi had 30% of the ball to Universitatea Craiova's 70%, shots finished 16-21, expected goals 2.62 to 3.06 — on chances, Universitatea Craiova could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universitatea Craiova led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for CSMS Iaşi and 2.83 for Universitatea Craiova.
What was the final score of CSMS Iaşi vs Universitatea Craiova?
CSMS Iaşi 2-0 Universitatea Craiova in the Romania - 1st Division on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for CSMS Iaşi vs Universitatea Craiova?
Before kick-off our model rated an Universitatea Craiova win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split CSMS Iaşi 32%, draw 25%, Universitatea Craiova 43%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.