CFR Cluj 2-2 FCSB — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.17
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.7
6+ Goals
11%
15.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.17 — our 31% vs market 25.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.9pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CFR Cluj EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY FCSB EU Bookmakers 31%
-1% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +15%
1.33/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.12
-6% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
351 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CFR Cluj
1W-2D-3L
AWAY FCSB
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2024 FCSB FCSB 0-1 HT 0-0 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj ROM
14.04.2024 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj 0-1 HT 0-1 FCSB FCSB ROM
10.12.2023 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj 1-1 HT 1-1 FCSB FCSB ROM
06.08.2023 FCSB FCSB 1-0 HT 0-0 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj ROM
14.05.2023 FCSB FCSB 1-0 HT 0-0 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj ROM
09.04.2023 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj 1-1 HT 1-0 FCSB FCSB ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CFR Cluj
2-2
AWAY FCSB
0.92 xG 1.53
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 4
213 Passes 393
69% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH CFR Cluj vs FCSB
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CFR Cluj and FCSB couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was CFR Cluj at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, CFR Cluj had 38% of the ball to FCSB's 62%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 0.92 to 1.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FCSB led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for CFR Cluj and 0.83 for FCSB.

What was the final score of CFR Cluj vs FCSB?

CFR Cluj 2-2 FCSB in the Romania - 1st Division on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CFR Cluj vs FCSB?

Before kick-off our model rated a CFR Cluj win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split CFR Cluj 43%, draw 27%, FCSB 30%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CFR Cluj) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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