Ümraniyespor 2-1 MKE Ankaragücü — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 2 Feb 2025

Ümraniyespor
2 - 1 HT 1 - 1
MKE Ankaragücü
📅02/02/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Ümraniyespor vs MKE Ankaragücü Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.82
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
41%
2.2
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.97
Over
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.12
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.77
2-3
46%
1.85
4-5
23%
3.28
6+
6%
11.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.43
1/2
3%
24.3
1/X
6%
12.95
X/1
11%
6.56
X/2
15%
5.21
X/X
16%
4.94
2/1
3%
29.5
2/2
23%
3.11
2/X
5%
12.6
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

Ümraniyespor v MKE Ankaragücü — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Ümraniyespor The Market 36%
Head to Head
AWAY MKE Ankaragücü The Market 45%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.18 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.43
1.33 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.22
Average Attack Strength Average
Strong Defense Strength Average
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
316 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 80%
19 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2

Ümraniyespor vs MKE Ankaragücü Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ümraniyespor
2W-2D-2L
AWAY MKE Ankaragücü
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.22 xG 1.46
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
313 Passes 331
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 29
18 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.08.2024 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 0-1 HT 0-1 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
21.05.2023 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 1-2 HT 1-1 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü TSL
27.12.2022 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 1-2 HT 1-1 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor TSL
09.04.2022 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 2-2 HT 1-1 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü T1L
06.11.2021 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 3-0 HT 1-0 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
14.04.2018 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 1-1 HT 0-1 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü T1L

Ümraniyespor 2-1 MKE Ankaragücü — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ümraniyespor
2 - 1
AWAY MKE Ankaragücü
1.54 xG 0.34
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 0
307 Passes 364
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 12
12 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Ümraniyespor vs MKE Ankaragücü
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Ümraniyespor edged past MKE Ankaragücü 2-1. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

A gentle 41% lean on MKE Ankaragücü didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. The goals call finished the job: both teams to score (57%) landed.

On the day, Ümraniyespor had 45% of the ball to MKE Ankaragücü's 55%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.54 to 0.34 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Ümraniyespor's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ümraniyespor and 1.50 for MKE Ankaragücü.

Ümraniyespor vs MKE Ankaragücü Result & Final Score

Ümraniyespor 2 - 1 MKE Ankaragücü in the Turkey - 1st Division on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Ümraniyespor vs MKE Ankaragücü Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an MKE Ankaragücü win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ümraniyespor 32%, draw 27%, MKE Ankaragücü 41%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (MKE Ankaragücü) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (MKE Ankaragücü) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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