MKE Ankaragücü 0-1 Ümraniyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.21
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.66
6+ Goals
8%
15.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.21 — our 30% vs market 25.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1.91
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
17.4
X/1
24%
3.56
X/2
7%
11.9
X/X
11%
5.32
2/1
6%
24.45
2/2
9%
10.05
2/X
8%
18.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-9.0pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.8pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+5.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.3pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MKE Ankaragücü EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Ümraniyespor EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +5%
1.57/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.88
+10% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -29%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
365 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 76%
31.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
28.7 Crosses 15.2
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MKE Ankaragücü
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Ümraniyespor
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.44 xG 1.37
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
331 Passes 342
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
29 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.05.2023 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 1-2 HT 1-1 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü TSL
27.12.2022 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 1-2 HT 1-1 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor TSL
09.04.2022 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 2-2 HT 1-1 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü T1L
06.11.2021 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 3-0 HT 1-0 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
14.04.2018 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 1-1 HT 0-1 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü T1L
02.12.2017 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 2-1 HT 0-1 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MKE Ankaragücü
0-1
AWAY Ümraniyespor
1.52 xG 0.61
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 1
330 Passes 196
78% Pass Accuracy 68%
30 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH MKE Ankaragücü vs Ümraniyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ümraniyespor squeezed past MKE Ankaragücü 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was MKE Ankaragücü at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, MKE Ankaragücü had 60% of the ball to Ümraniyespor's 40%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.52 to 0.61 — the balance of chances actually favoured MKE Ankaragücü.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, MKE Ankaragücü had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for MKE Ankaragücü and 1.17 for Ümraniyespor.

What was the final score of MKE Ankaragücü vs Ümraniyespor?

MKE Ankaragücü 0-1 Ümraniyespor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MKE Ankaragücü vs Ümraniyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a MKE Ankaragücü win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split MKE Ankaragücü 52%, draw 27%, Ümraniyespor 21%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (MKE Ankaragücü) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (MKE Ankaragücü) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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