Boluspor 2-1 Esenler Erokspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.8
Over 2.5
41%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.12
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
3.75
6+ Goals
8%
16.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.12 — our 31% vs market 26.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.06
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.5
X/1
16%
4.72
X/2
14%
6.41
X/X
12%
4.54
2/1
8%
26.5
2/2
11%
4.7
2/X
7%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.4pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boluspor EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Esenler Erokspor EU Bookmakers 33%
-2% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -46% / -46%
1.29/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.20
-18% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -36%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
296 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
20.8 Crosses 15.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boluspor
2-1
AWAY Esenler Erokspor
1.15 xG 1.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
333 Passes 388
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
23 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Boluspor vs Esenler Erokspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boluspor edged past Esenler Erokspor 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Boluspor as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Boluspor had 46% of the ball to Esenler Erokspor's 54%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.15 to 1.17.

What was the final score of Boluspor vs Esenler Erokspor?

Boluspor 2-1 Esenler Erokspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boluspor vs Esenler Erokspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boluspor win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Boluspor 41%, draw 27%, Esenler Erokspor 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boluspor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Boluspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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