Fatih Karagümrük 0-2 Manisa FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.53
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.23
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.64
6+ Goals
10%
14.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
60%
-3.7pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.5pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+4.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.2pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fatih Karagümrük EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Manisa FK EU Bookmakers 21%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -10%
2.17/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.51
+54% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -17%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
379 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
21.1 Crosses 14.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fatih Karagümrük
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Manisa FK
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
21.05.2019 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 2-0 HT 2-0 Manisa FK Manisa FK S2-K
17.05.2019 Manisa FK Manisa FK 1-0 HT 0-0 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük S2-K
16.03.2019 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 0-2 HT 0-0 Manisa FK Manisa FK S2-K
27.10.2018 Manisa FK Manisa FK 3-1 HT 1-1 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük S2-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fatih Karagümrük
0-2
AWAY Manisa FK
0.27 xG 2.21
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
306 Passes 337
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 33
23 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fatih Karagümrük vs Manisa FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manisa FK got the better of Fatih Karagümrük 2-0 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Fatih Karagümrük at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Fatih Karagümrük had 49% of the ball to Manisa FK's 51%, shots finished 6-12, expected goals 0.27 to 2.21.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Manisa FK led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Fatih Karagümrük and 1.50 for Manisa FK.

What was the final score of Fatih Karagümrük vs Manisa FK?

Fatih Karagümrük 0-2 Manisa FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fatih Karagümrük vs Manisa FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fatih Karagümrük win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Fatih Karagümrük 57%, draw 22%, Manisa FK 21%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Fatih Karagümrük), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fatih Karagümrük) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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