Union San Felipe 2-1 Santiago Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Cup, 2 Feb 2026

📅02/02/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.5pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.3pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.8pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union San Felipe EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Santiago Wanderers EU Bookmakers 31%
-56% / -56% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
0.62/2.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.36/2.39
-54% / -54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +103% / -44%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
244 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 221 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
Crosses 21.0
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union San Felipe
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Santiago Wanderers
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
25% Ball Possession 75%
0 Corners 0
1 Passes 3
13.05.2025 Santiago Wanderers Santiago Wanderers 0-1 HT 0-0 Union San Felipe Union San Felipe ŞİLİK
17.02.2025 Union San Felipe Union San Felipe 1-3 HT 1-0 Santiago Wanderers Santiago Wanderers ŞİLİK
05.08.2023 Union San Felipe Union San Felipe 0-1 HT 0-0 Santiago Wanderers Santiago Wanderers ŞİLİB
22.03.2023 Santiago Wanderers Santiago Wanderers 3-2 HT 3-1 Union San Felipe Union San Felipe ŞİLİB
10.09.2022 Union San Felipe Union San Felipe 2-3 HT 1-0 Santiago Wanderers Santiago Wanderers ŞİLİB
10.06.2022 Santiago Wanderers Santiago Wanderers 0-1 HT 0-1 Union San Felipe Union San Felipe ŞİLİB
POST-MATCH Union San Felipe vs Santiago Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union San Felipe squeezed past Santiago Wanderers 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Union San Felipe as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santiago Wanderers led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Union San Felipe and 1.67 for Santiago Wanderers.

What was the final score of Union San Felipe vs Santiago Wanderers?

Union San Felipe 2-1 Santiago Wanderers in the Chile - Cup on 02/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union San Felipe vs Santiago Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union San Felipe win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Union San Felipe 45%, draw 23%, Santiago Wanderers 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union San Felipe), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Union San Felipe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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